‘Analysis based on current political mood’

From independent analyst
If elections were held today on January 7th, 2015 and if 50% of registered voters turned up which is 2,583,577 people voting, 1,493, 457 (57.81%) would vote HH country wide, and 825, 624, (31.95%) would vote EL and 197, 605 (7.65%)would vote NM and 66, 892 (2.59%) would vote the FDD.
Therefore Current Opinion based of 50 sampled registered voters in each province by province weight of voters numbers and with margin of error of +_ 3%. RESULTS Lusaka HH 55%, EL 33, NM 6%, EN 6% ,Luapula HH 35%, EL 52%, NM 10 % EN 3% Northern HH42%, EL 51% NM 6%, EN 1% Muchinga HH 29%, EL 52% NM 10% EN 9% Copperbelt HH 49%, EL 40%, NM 10%, EN 1% Central HH 58%, EL 35% NM 5%, EN 2% Eastern HH 49%,EL 47% NM 3% EN 1% Southern HH 87%, EL 8% NM 4% EN 1% Western HH 87%, EL 9%,NM 3% EN 1% Northwestern HH 87%. EL 10% NM 2%, EN 1%, Sondashi 2%. These are based on the application of the product probability sum of averages of voter ratios. This will give HH 57.81 % of the national vote. With EL on 31.95%. In this more exhaustive approach my margin of error is 3% meaning that HH’s pessimistic result would be 54.81% and EL’s optimistic result would be at 34.95%. Seeing that there are now two main players in this two horse race, this very scientific method concludes HH will be President elect. THANK YOU FOR FOLLOWING MY POLL AS THIS IS MY LAST POLL BEFORE ELECTION DAY. PLEASE NO VIOLENCE AND NO TRIBAL REMARKS AND CHARACTER ASSASINATION. STICK TO ISSUES AND DEFEND THESE NUMBERS.
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